Machinepower Index / Dossiers / Türkiye
Türkiye
Strategic Autonomy — Build enough sovereign capability to negotiate from strength — inference-grade compute, open-weight depth, a hardened grid, retained talent — without racing the superpowers to the frontier.
Score = the average of Watts, Weights and Will, minus a bottleneck penalty of 0.2 × the weakest axis's distance from 10. Potential = the average alone. The gap between them is what fixing the bottleneck is worth.
The three layers
Energy, grids, data centres and silicon — the physical capacity to run models at scale.
Models, alignment capability, standards influence and the talent that produces them.
The capacity to wire AI into the state and the economy while holding public consent.
Where the score comes from
Each axis is the straight average of its four measured sub-dimensions. Nothing is weighted inside an axis; every number below is a rubric-judged 0–10 assessment against published sources under twelve months old.
| Layer | Sub-dimension | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Watts | Planning & Permitting | 5.5 |
| Firm Power Capacity | 5.7 | |
| Sovereign Compute | 3.1 | |
| Hardware & Silicon Access | 2.5 | |
| Weights | Frontier Model Output | 3.1 |
| Alignment Capability | 3.5 | |
| Regulatory Standing | 6.8 | |
| Talent Density | 5.0 | |
| Will | State Procurement | 5.9 |
| Public Sector Adoption | 7.8 | |
| Workforce Transition | 5.1 | |
| Public Trust | 7.6 |
Bottlenecks
The weakest axis sets the penalty. These are the constraints that hold Türkiye below its Potential.
Assessment
A state whose strongest asset is appetite: its government actually deploys what it buys, and its public is warmer on AI (66%) than most of Europe. But the material and intelligence layers trail badly: 15 petaflops of listed compute for a G20 economy, no notable models, and chip access hostage to a complicated geopolitics.
The art of the possible
Türkiye's advantage is position: energy corridors, a manufacturing base, and a foot in every bloc. The play is compute non-alignment — hosting capacity for markets that find hosting awkward elsewhere, while TRUBA-scale public compute grows into something a G20 economy can defend.
Strategic play — Strategic Autonomy
Build enough sovereign capability to negotiate from strength — inference-grade compute, open-weight depth, a hardened grid, retained talent — without racing the superpowers to the frontier.
The play is editorial, not scored: it names the game Türkiye's measured position supports. Eight plays run across the Index — Total Sovereignty, Strategic Autonomy, Chokepoint Leverage, Diffusion Advantage, Compute Rentier, Specialist Power, Sovereign Capital and Siege Autarky.
Open Türkiye in the live Index → — full provenance cards, source dates, comparison tool and CSV export.