Machinepower

Machinepower Index / Dossiers

Q4 2026 edition · updated October 2026

Every jurisdiction, on the record.

50 nations scored on the three things AI power actually needs, plus the EU for reference — it is not ranked. Score comes from the twelve measurements beneath those three, so one weak number pulls it down instead of being averaged away. Potential is the plain average. The distance between them is what being lopsided costs.

#JurisdictionPlayWattsWeightsWillScorePotential
1United StatesTotal Sovereignty9.29.28.28.308.87
2ChinaTotal Sovereignty8.68.78.18.238.47
3South KoreaChokepoint Leverage7.77.38.17.407.70
4FranceStrategic Autonomy6.57.37.76.757.17
5GermanyChokepoint Leverage6.87.17.96.747.27
6JapanChokepoint Leverage7.66.47.16.727.03
7CanadaSpecialist Power6.17.07.86.536.97
8United KingdomSpecialist Power5.87.77.76.517.07
9IndiaDiffusion Advantage6.06.48.06.256.80
10IsraelSpecialist Power5.17.17.86.026.67
11SpainStrategic Autonomy5.56.37.75.956.50
12TaiwanChokepoint Leverage6.95.88.25.926.97
13United Arab EmiratesSovereign Capital6.05.78.35.886.67
14Saudi ArabiaSovereign Capital6.35.88.85.886.97
15SingaporeDiffusion Advantage5.26.68.55.866.77
16NetherlandsChokepoint Leverage5.86.68.05.656.80
17AustraliaSpecialist Power5.56.28.15.626.60
18ItalyDiffusion Advantage6.16.06.65.536.23
19NorwayCompute Rentier5.26.38.45.466.63
20SwedenCompute Rentier5.45.67.65.396.20
21SwitzerlandSpecialist Power5.16.86.75.386.20
22FinlandCompute Rentier5.55.77.35.376.17
23PolandDiffusion Advantage4.85.67.45.195.93
24AustriaSpecialist Power4.85.57.15.035.80
25VietnamDiffusion Advantage5.45.26.54.985.70
26ThailandCompute Rentier4.84.78.14.845.87
27BrazilDiffusion Advantage5.05.27.64.755.93
28CzechiaDiffusion Advantage4.35.07.04.705.43
29DenmarkDiffusion Advantage4.25.88.34.696.10
30BelgiumSpecialist Power4.35.37.44.605.67
31MalaysiaCompute Rentier5.45.17.84.456.10
32KazakhstanCompute Rentier4.34.17.94.375.43
33TürkiyeSpecialist Power4.24.67.44.305.40
34PhilippinesDiffusion Advantage4.15.07.64.145.57
35IrelandCompute Rentier3.85.77.74.115.73
36RussiaSiege Autarky5.25.87.14.016.03
37New ZealandCompute Rentier3.94.97.54.015.43
38South AfricaDiffusion Advantage4.04.75.93.924.87
39MexicoDiffusion Advantage4.24.65.73.924.83
40IndonesiaDiffusion Advantage3.94.47.33.805.20
41UkraineSpecialist Power3.65.57.73.795.60
42QatarSovereign Capital4.34.47.23.745.30
43EstoniaDiffusion Advantage3.65.08.93.645.83
44EgyptCompute Rentier3.94.67.53.645.33
45ChileSpecialist Power3.54.37.53.625.10
46ArgentinaCompute Rentier3.54.96.53.604.97
47PakistanDiffusion Advantage3.24.25.43.344.27
48NigeriaDiffusion Advantage2.64.76.53.304.60
49MoroccoCompute Rentier3.54.44.73.254.20
50KenyaDiffusion Advantage2.44.56.13.144.33
—European Union reference blocStrategic Autonomy7.87.47.16.917.43

Dots show each nation's strategy: Total Sovereignty · Chokepoint Leverage · Compute Rentier · Specialist Power · Strategic Autonomy · Diffusion Advantage · Sovereign Capital · Siege Autarky. Every measurement is scored 0–10 against the latest editions of public sources, none more than three years old. No two nations score exactly the same, but Estonia and Egypt match to two decimals. If two ever tie, the higher Potential goes first, then the deeper single layer. The full dataset, the source behind each number and the CSV export are in the interactive Index.