Machinepower Index / Dossiers

Q3 2026 edition

Every jurisdiction, on the record.

25 nations scored on the three things AI power actually needs, plus the EU for reference — it is not ranked. Score comes from the twelve measurements beneath those three, so one weak number pulls it down instead of being averaged away. Potential is the plain average. The distance between them is what being lopsided costs.

#JurisdictionPlayWattsWeightsWillScorePotential
1United StatesTotal Sovereignty9.29.27.78.268.70
2ChinaTotal Sovereignty8.79.07.77.898.47
3South KoreaStrategic Autonomy7.77.17.87.227.53
4FranceStrategic Autonomy6.57.27.66.757.10
5JapanStrategic Autonomy7.56.06.36.176.60
6CanadaStrategic Autonomy6.16.86.86.156.57
7United KingdomStrategic Autonomy5.87.56.56.116.60
8IndiaDiffusion Advantage6.06.37.26.066.50
9GermanyStrategic Autonomy6.86.97.06.016.90
10IsraelSpecialist Power5.17.16.95.906.37
11SingaporeDiffusion Advantage5.26.58.65.876.77
12United Arab EmiratesSovereign Capital5.95.78.45.826.67
13TaiwanChokepoint Leverage6.95.87.05.786.57
14Saudi ArabiaSovereign Capital6.35.87.85.726.63
15NetherlandsChokepoint Leverage5.86.67.45.636.60
16SwitzerlandSpecialist Power5.06.87.05.576.27
17ItalyDiffusion Advantage6.06.06.45.476.13
18AustraliaSpecialist Power5.26.27.25.446.20
19NorwayCompute Rentier5.26.38.05.426.50
20BrazilDiffusion Advantage5.05.27.04.695.73
21MalaysiaCompute Rentier5.35.16.84.385.73
22TürkiyeStrategic Autonomy4.24.66.64.215.13
23RussiaSiege Autarky5.25.86.63.985.87
24South AfricaDiffusion Advantage4.04.76.13.964.93
25IndonesiaDiffusion Advantage3.84.47.03.755.07
European Union reference blocStrategic Autonomy7.87.47.16.917.43

Tier 1 · Tier 2 · Tier 3 . Every measurement is scored 0–10 against sources published in the last 12 months. No two nations score the same this quarter, though the middle of the table is close: Australia and Norway are 0.02 apart. If two ever tie, the higher Potential goes first, then the deeper single layer. The full dataset, the source behind each number and the CSV export are in the interactive Index.