Machinepower

Machinepower Index / Dossiers / Belgium

Rank 30 of 50 · Tier 3

Rank 28–33 across the scoring rules tested. How this is tested

Belgium

Specialist Power — For nations among the world's best at something the frontier needs but could find elsewhere: keep earning the lead before others catch up, and trade expertise for access.

Score4.60
Potential5.67
Bottleneck cost−1.06
Weakest cell: Sovereign Compute at 2.8 Binding layer: Watts Direction: Stagnating Edition: Q3 2026 · updated October 2026

How the Score, Potential and bottleneck cost are worked out: methodology.

The three layers

WattsMaterial power · holds the weakest cell
4.3 / 10

Energy, grids, data centres and silicon — the physical capacity to run models at scale.

Epoch AI records no large AI clusters or data centres here yet.

WeightsIntelligence power
5.3 / 10

Models, alignment capability, standards influence and the talent that produces them.

WillPolitical power
7.4 / 10

The capacity to wire AI into the state and the economy while holding public consent.

Where the score comes from

LayerSub-dimensionBasisScore
WattsPlanning & PermittingAssessed4.8
Firm Power CapacityDataset3.6
Sovereign ComputeDataset2.8
Hardware & Silicon AccessDataset5.8
WeightsFrontier Model OutputDataset3.0
Alignment CapabilityAssessed5.6
Regulatory StandingDataset8.0
Talent DensityAssessed4.5
WillPolicy CapacityDataset8.5
Public Sector AdoptionDataset7.2
Workforce TransitionDataset8.1
Public TrustDataset5.6

Assessed marks a measurement we judged rather than took from a dataset: 3 of the 12 here.

Sources

Elia; CREG (via Reuters, A&O Shearman)2025–2026
Planning & permitting (assessed)
4.8/10, assessed

Data-centre requests are up nine-fold since 2022, and the grid operator now caps them as a separate category.

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Cullen International; EU AI Act trackers2025–2026
Alignment (assessed)
5.6/10, assessed

Its telecoms regulator enforces the AI Act, named after the deadline; no safety body.

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World BankDecember 2025
Business Ready 2025: business location and utility services
Business location 61.9/100 · utility services 81.0/100

A cross-check for planning and permitting, which stays assessed: it scores permits and electricity connections for ordinary firms, not grid-scale connections for data centres.

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Ember2025
Electricity Generation
72 TWh (2025)

Feeds firm power.

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TOP500.orgJune 2026
High-Performance Compute Capacity
11 PFlop/s across 2 systems

Largest: Sofia (VUB).

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GitHub Innovation Graph; Oxford Insights; Stanford AI Index (LinkedIn)2025–2026
Talent density (assessed)
4.5/10, assessed

Stanford does not count Belgium. Estimated from 0.7 million GitHub developers and Oxford Insights' diffusion pillar, averaged with an estimate from LinkedIn's AI talent share (0.68% of members), calibrated on the nations Stanford counts.

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Oxford InsightsMay 2026
Government AI Readiness Index 2025
#30 of 195 · 65.2/100

Feeds governance and public-sector adoption; policy capacity is listed separately.

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Ipsos AI Monitor 2026April 2026
Public Trust in AI
41% say AI products have more benefits than drawbacks

The Index scores public trust as 1 + share ÷ 10. Survey of 23,532 adults across 32 countries, March to April 2026.

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IMF2023 data, published June 2024
AI Preparedness Index: human capital and labour market policies
0.164 of a possible 0.25 · 8.1/10 in the Index

Feeds workforce, rescaled across 173 economies.

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Ember2023
Firm generating capacity
12 GW (2023)

Fossil, nuclear, hydro and other dispatchable plant; averaged with generation for firm power.

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University of Melbourne; KPMGJanuary 2025
Trust in AI at work
48% trust AI at work

Second source for public trust, averaged with Ipsos.

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Oxford InsightsMay 2026
Policy capacity
85/100

Feeds policy capacity.

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Stanford AI Index 2026April 2026
Private AI investment, 2025 (shown, not scored)
$1.2bn

Capital is shown beside the Score, not scored.

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Bottlenecks

These hold Belgium below its Potential. Its two lowest scores cost it the most: sovereign compute at 2.8 (part of Watts) and frontier model output at 3.0 (part of Weights).

Watts (Material)Sovereign Compute

Assessment

Belgium's compute is thin and its grid now caps data centres, but it hosts imec, where the chip industry works out its next generations before they reach a fab.

The art of the possible

Every leading chipmaker joins imec's programmes, including the High-NA EUV work it shares with ASML. Turning that into a say over where Europe's next fabs go is worth more than any campus.

Strategic play — Specialist Power

Keep imec the place where the next generations of chips are proven, and trade access for a European share of the fabs that follow.

Leverage — the nearest position. No chokepoint. imec is the nearest: the industry's shared lab for future chips. Firms could build their own at great cost and delay, which makes it a position, not a lever.

Open Belgium in the live Index → — every source behind every number, and the comparison tool.