Machinepower

Machinepower Index / Dossiers / Egypt

Rank 44 of 50 · Tier 3

Rank 36–45 across the scoring rules tested. How this is tested

Egypt

Compute Rentier — For nations whose main asset is the ground itself, meaning cheap clean power, land and stability: host other nations' compute and turn geography into rent, jobs and relevance.

Score3.64
Potential5.33
Bottleneck cost−1.69
Weakest cell: Sovereign Compute at 2.0 Binding layer: Watts Direction: Stagnating Edition: Q3 2026 · updated October 2026

How the Score, Potential and bottleneck cost are worked out: methodology.

The three layers

WattsMaterial power · holds the weakest cell
3.9 / 10

Energy, grids, data centres and silicon — the physical capacity to run models at scale.

Epoch AI records no large AI clusters or data centres here yet.

WeightsIntelligence power
4.6 / 10

Models, alignment capability, standards influence and the talent that produces them.

WillPolitical power
7.5 / 10

The capacity to wire AI into the state and the economy while holding public consent.

Where the score comes from

LayerSub-dimensionBasisScore
WattsPlanning & PermittingAssessed6.2
Firm Power CapacityDataset5.3
Sovereign ComputeAssessed2.0
Hardware & Silicon AccessDataset2.0
WeightsFrontier Model OutputDataset3.0
Alignment CapabilityAssessed3.6
Regulatory StandingDataset6.8
Talent DensityAssessed4.8
WillPolicy CapacityDataset10.0
Public Sector AdoptionDataset6.0
Workforce TransitionDataset5.1
Public TrustAssessed9.0

Assessed marks a measurement we judged rather than took from a dataset: 5 of the 12 here.

Sources

African Energy Chamber outlook (secondary)2026
Planning & permitting (assessed)
6.2/10, assessed

Cheap land and power and a state that builds quickly, offset by load-shedding in 2023–24.

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Oxford Insights GAIRI 2025; Stanford AI Index 2026 fig 3.5.2 (international AI commitments)2025–2026
Alignment (assessed)
3.6/10, assessed

An updated AI strategy and the OECD principles; no safety body.

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Ember2025
Electricity Generation
242 TWh (2025)

Feeds firm power.

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TOP500.org; Epoch AIJune 2026
Sovereign compute (assessed)
2.0/10, assessed

No system on the June 2026 TOP500 and no compute controlled by the state, universities or firms in Epoch AI; set at the floor.

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GitHub Innovation Graph; Oxford Insights2025–2026
Talent density (assessed)
4.8/10, assessed

Stanford does not count Egypt. Estimated from 1.6 million GitHub developers and Oxford Insights' diffusion pillar, calibrated on the nations Stanford counts.

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Oxford InsightsMay 2026
Government AI Readiness Index 2025
#52 of 195 · 59.1/100

Feeds governance and public-sector adoption; policy capacity is listed separately.

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University of Melbourne; KPMGJanuary 2025
Public trust (assessed)
79% trust AI at work

Ipsos does not cover it. Mapped to the Ipsos scale through the 28 countries both surveys cover.

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IMF2023 data, published June 2024
AI Preparedness Index: human capital and labour market policies
0.116 of a possible 0.25 · 5.1/10 in the Index

Feeds workforce, rescaled across 173 economies.

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Ember2023
Firm generating capacity
57 GW (2023)

Fossil, nuclear, hydro and other dispatchable plant; averaged with generation for firm power.

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Oxford InsightsMay 2026
Policy capacity
100/100

Feeds policy capacity.

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Bottlenecks

These hold Egypt below its Potential. Its two lowest scores cost it the most: sovereign compute at 2.0 (part of Watts) and hardware & silicon access at 2.0 (part of Watts).

Watts (Material)Sovereign Compute

Assessment

Egypt sits on the cable routes between Europe, Asia and Africa and has cheap land and power, but nothing on the TOP500, few models and power cuts as recent as 2024.

The art of the possible

Hosting is the near prize: cables and cheap power make Egypt a natural landing point for compute serving three continents.

Strategic play — Compute Rentier

Rent the crossing: host compute where the cables land, and tie each campus to new plants that end the outages.

Leverage — the nearest position. Fisher's Alexandria again: much of the internet traffic between Europe and Asia crosses Egypt by cable, through landings the state controls. It is a key others must pass, though Cairo has never turned it.

Open Egypt in the live Index → — every source behind every number, and the comparison tool.